SmartBettors

Eliteserien

Lillestrøm

40

Full time

Sarpsborg 08

Sunday, May 3, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Lillestrøm2
Draws1
Sarpsborg 083
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.80

Implied 54.4%

Draw

4.40

Implied 21.6%

Away win

3.96

Implied 24.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHLillestrøm vs Sarpsborg 08
LEAGUENorway · Eliteserien · 2026 · mid season · matchday 11/30
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Lillestrøm: 1.78 (implied 0.549753)
Draw: 4.37 (implied 0.216826)
Sarpsborg 08: 4.07 (implied 0.233427)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lillestrøm: 4/16 · 19 pts · GD +6 · 8 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual
Sarpsborg 08: 7/16 · 14 pts · GD -3 · 13 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Lillestrøm last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W D W L (oldest → newest)
Sarpsborg 08 last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend D L D L L (oldest → newest)
Lillestrøm avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Sarpsborg 08 avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Lillestrøm avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Sarpsborg 08 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Lillestrøm form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Sarpsborg 08 form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lillestrøm over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Sarpsborg 08 over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Lillestrøm BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Sarpsborg 08 BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Lillestrøm clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4
Sarpsborg 08 clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Lillestrøm home form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 20%
Sarpsborg 08 away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 20%
Lillestrøm home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Sarpsborg 08 away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Lillestrøm home BTTS rate: 20%
Sarpsborg 08 away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Lillestrøm W-D-L vs Sarpsborg 08: 2-1-3

MOTIVATION

Lillestrøm: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Lillestrøm: chasing UCL qualification (6 pts to line)
Lillestrøm: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Sarpsborg 08: chasing UECL qualification (5 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)