SmartBettors

Eliteserien

Lillestrøm

12

Full time

Kristiansund

Wednesday, May 20, 2026 -
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 28 · Home +0.18 · Away -0.15

Lillestrøm (-1.25)Kristiansund (+1.25)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.45

Implied 68.97%

Draw

5.01

Implied 19.96%

Away win

6.84

Implied 14.62%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.57

Implied 63.69%

Under 2.5

2.48

Implied 40.32%

Captured

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHLillestrøm vs Kristiansund
LEAGUENorway · Eliteserien · 2026 · mid season · matchday 9/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.52 (implied 65.79%)
Under 2.5: 2.65 (implied 37.74%)
Full-time result:
Lillestrøm: 1.46 (implied 68.49%)
Draw: 5.04 (implied 19.84%)
Kristiansund: 6.50 (implied 15.38%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lillestrøm: 4/16 · 19 pts · GD +8 · 5 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual
Kristiansund: 10/16 · 11 pts · GD -4 · 13 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Lillestrøm last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W L W L W (oldest → newest)
Kristiansund last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend W D D L L (oldest → newest)
Lillestrøm avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Kristiansund avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Lillestrøm avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Kristiansund avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Lillestrøm form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Kristiansund form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lillestrøm over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Kristiansund over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Lillestrøm BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Kristiansund BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Lillestrøm clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3
Kristiansund clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Lillestrøm home form: 3W-0D-2L · 2.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
Kristiansund away form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.8 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Lillestrøm home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Kristiansund away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Lillestrøm home BTTS rate: 40%
Kristiansund away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.500
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 100%
Lillestrøm W-D-L vs Kristiansund: 1-1-2

MOTIVATION

Lillestrøm: defending UECL qualification (score 0.758)
Lillestrøm: chasing the title (5 pts to top)
Lillestrøm: chasing UCL qualification (4 pts to line)
Lillestrøm: defending UECL spot (+3 pts cushion)
Lillestrøm: chasing playoff spot
Kristiansund: chasing playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -1.25 → -1.25 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 2 changes · 28/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -1.25 → -1.5 (toward Lillestrøm)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.167)