SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Lens

21

Full time

Olympique Marseille

Saturday, May 6, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.38

Implied 41.3%

Draw

3.48

Implied 28.0%

Away win

3.18

Implied 30.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.94

Implied 50.3%

Under 2.5

1.96

Implied 49.8%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHLens vs Olympique Marseille
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.97 (implied 0.495295)
Under 2.5: 1.93 (implied 0.505051)
Full-time result:
Lens: 2.39 (implied 0.411184)
Draw: 3.45 (implied 0.282725)
Olympique Marseille: 3.19 (implied 0.306279)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lens: 4/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl qual
Olympique Marseille: 1/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

Lens last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W W L W W (oldest → newest)
Olympique Marseille last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D D W W W (oldest → newest)
Lens avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Olympique Marseille avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Lens avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Olympique Marseille avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Lens form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Olympique Marseille form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lens over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Olympique Marseille over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Lens BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Olympique Marseille BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Lens clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 0
Olympique Marseille clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Lens home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Olympique Marseille away form: 4W-1D-0L · 1.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Lens home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Olympique Marseille away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Lens home BTTS rate: 60%
Olympique Marseille away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.667
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Lens W-D-L vs Olympique Marseille: 2-0-1

MOTIVATION

Lens: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Lens: relegation danger (close to drop)
Lens: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lens: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: relegation danger (close to drop)
Olympique Marseille: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available