SmartBettors

Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznań

vs

Kickoff

Wisła Płock

Saturday, May 23, 2026 -
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Match briefing
MATCHLech Poznań vs Wisła Płock
LEAGUEPoland · Ekstraklasa · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 33/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.38 (implied 72.46%)
Under 2.5: 2.88 (implied 34.72%)
Full-time result:
Lech Poznań: 1.27 (implied 78.74%)
Draw: 5.88 (implied 17.01%)
Wisła Płock: 8.10 (implied 12.35%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Lech Poznań: 1/18 · 59 pts · GD +17 · leader · zone: ucl qual
Wisła Płock: 8/18 · 45 pts · GD -4 · 14 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Lech Poznań last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W W D W (oldest → newest)
Wisła Płock last 5: 1W-0D-4L · trend W L L L L (oldest → newest)
Lech Poznań avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Wisła Płock avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Lech Poznań avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Wisła Płock avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Lech Poznań form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Wisła Płock form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Lech Poznań over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Wisła Płock over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Lech Poznań BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Wisła Płock BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Lech Poznań clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1
Wisła Płock clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 6

VENUE PROFILE

Lech Poznań home form: 3W-2D-0L · 3.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Wisła Płock away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Lech Poznań home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Wisła Płock away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Lech Poznań home BTTS rate: 60%
Wisła Płock away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.200
Over 2.5 rate: 40%
BTTS rate: 40%
Lech Poznań W-D-L vs Wisła Płock: 3-1-1

MOTIVATION

Lech Poznań: chasing the title (0 pts to top)
Lech Poznań: defending UCL spot (+6 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -1.25 → -1.75 (Δ -0.5, toward Lech Poznań)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Lech Poznań
Line activity: 2 changes · 10/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -1.25 → -1.5 (toward Lech Poznań)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.417)