SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Kalmar

21

Full time

Elfsborg

Monday, April 27, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.51

Implied 38.4%

Draw

3.16

Implied 30.2%

Away win

3.05

Implied 31.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHKalmar vs Elfsborg
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 10/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Kalmar: 2.56 (implied 0.376506)
Draw: 3.20 (implied 0.298597)
Elfsborg: 2.95 (implied 0.324886)

TEAM STRENGTH

Kalmar: 13/16 · 10 pts · GD -4 · 18 pts off leader
Elfsborg: 3/16 · 18 pts · GD +5 · 10 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Kalmar last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend W L L L D (oldest → newest)
Elfsborg last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L W D W W (oldest → newest)
Kalmar avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Elfsborg avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Kalmar avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Elfsborg avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Kalmar form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Elfsborg form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Kalmar over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Elfsborg over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Kalmar BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Elfsborg BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Kalmar clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3
Elfsborg clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Kalmar home form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Elfsborg away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.6 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 20%
Kalmar home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Elfsborg away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Kalmar home BTTS rate: 40%
Elfsborg away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.833
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 33%
Kalmar W-D-L vs Elfsborg: 4-0-2

MOTIVATION

Elfsborg: defending UECL qualification (score 0.678)
Kalmar: relegation danger (close to drop)
Elfsborg: defending UECL spot (+1 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0 → 0 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)