SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo

12

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Sunday, May 18, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.29

Implied 42.4%

Draw

3.64

Implied 26.2%

Away win

3.05

Implied 31.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHHeracles Almelo vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Heracles Almelo: 2.50 (implied 0.387147)
Draw: 3.54 (implied 0.269978)
NEC Nijmegen: 2.81 (implied 0.342936)

TEAM STRENGTH

Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

Heracles Almelo last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W L L W L (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W L D W W (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Heracles Almelo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Heracles Almelo home form: 4W-0D-1L · 2.4 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 2W-1D-2L · 0.8 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 0%
Heracles Almelo home over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Heracles Almelo home BTTS rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.200
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 60%
Heracles Almelo W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 2-1-2

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available