SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo

11

Full time

Excelsior

Friday, March 20, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.78

Implied 34.9%

Draw

3.45

Implied 27.9%

Away win

2.61

Implied 37.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.78

Implied 53.6%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 46.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHHeracles Almelo vs Excelsior
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.78 (implied 0.536481)
Under 2.5: 2.04 (implied 0.463392)
Full-time result:
Heracles Almelo: 2.79 (implied 0.347584)
Draw: 3.39 (implied 0.284414)
Excelsior: 2.64 (implied 0.367918)

TEAM STRENGTH

Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable
Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Heracles Almelo last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L L L D L (oldest → newest)
Excelsior last 5: 0W-0D-5L · trend L L L L L (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 0.60
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 2.50
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Heracles Almelo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 6
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Heracles Almelo home form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Excelsior away form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Heracles Almelo home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Excelsior away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Heracles Almelo home BTTS rate: 40%
Excelsior away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.667
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 67%
Heracles Almelo W-D-L vs Excelsior: 2-0-1

MOTIVATION

Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available