SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo

03

Full time

Ajax

Saturday, April 11, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Heracles Almelo0
Draws0
Ajax6
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

5.34

Implied 17.4%

Draw

4.78

Implied 19.6%

Away win

1.56

Implied 63.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHHeracles Almelo vs Ajax
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Heracles Almelo: 5.59 (implied 0.166279)
Draw: 4.74 (implied 0.197472)
Ajax: 1.54 (implied 0.636132)

TEAM STRENGTH

Heracles Almelo: league table unavailable
Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Heracles Almelo last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend L D L D L (oldest → newest)
Ajax last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D L W W L (oldest → newest)
Heracles Almelo avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Heracles Almelo avg goals conceded last 10: 2.60
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Heracles Almelo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Heracles Almelo over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Heracles Almelo BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Heracles Almelo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Heracles Almelo home form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Ajax away form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Heracles Almelo home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Ajax away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Heracles Almelo home BTTS rate: 60%
Ajax away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.857
Over 2.5 rate: 71%
BTTS rate: 43%
Heracles Almelo W-D-L vs Ajax: 0-1-6

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available