SmartBettors

Bundesliga

Heidenheim

02

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

Saturday, May 16, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.04

Implied 48.1%

Draw

4.18

Implied 23.0%

Away win

3.35

Implied 28.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.41

Implied 70.92%

Under 2.5

3.03

Implied 33%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHHeidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05
LEAGUEGermany · Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Heidenheim: 1.94 (implied 0.505051)
Draw: 4.27 (implied 0.224669)
FSV Mainz 05: 3.56 (implied 0.270856)

TEAM STRENGTH

Heidenheim: league table unavailable
FSV Mainz 05: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Heidenheim last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W L W D W (oldest → newest)
FSV Mainz 05 last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L D L W L (oldest → newest)
Heidenheim avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Heidenheim avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Heidenheim form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
FSV Mainz 05 form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Heidenheim over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
FSV Mainz 05 over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Heidenheim BTTS rate last 10: 70%
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Heidenheim clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Heidenheim home form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.6 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
FSV Mainz 05 away form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 80%
Heidenheim home over 2.5 rate: 80%
FSV Mainz 05 away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Heidenheim home BTTS rate: 80%
FSV Mainz 05 away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 20%
BTTS rate: 40%
Heidenheim W-D-L vs FSV Mainz 05: 2-1-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.75 (Δ -0.25, toward Heidenheim)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_home — late sharp money toward Heidenheim
Line activity: 1 change · 23/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.75 (toward Heidenheim)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.958)