SmartBettors

La Liga

Girona

vs

Kickoff

Elche

Saturday, May 23, 2026 -
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Match briefing
MATCHGirona vs Elche
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.74 (implied 57.47%)
Under 2.5: 2.18 (implied 45.87%)
Full-time result:
Girona: 1.80 (implied 55.56%)
Draw: 4.00 (implied 25%)
Elche: 4.35 (implied 22.99%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Girona: 18/20 · 40 pts · GD -16 · 54 pts off leader · zone: relegation
Elche: 16/20 · 42 pts · GD -8 · 52 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Girona last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend L L D D L (oldest → newest)
Elche last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L D L W (oldest → newest)
Girona avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Elche avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Girona avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Elche avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Girona form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Elche form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Girona over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Elche over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Girona BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Elche BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Girona clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3
Elche clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Girona home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Elche away form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.0 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Girona home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Elche away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Girona home BTTS rate: 40%
Elche away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 25%
Girona W-D-L vs Elche: 3-0-1

MOTIVATION

Girona: currently in the relegation zone
Elche: chasing UECL qualification (6 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.75 (Δ -0.25, toward Girona)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Girona
Line activity: 1 change · 7/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.75 (toward Girona)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.292)