SmartBettors

Serie A

Genoa

12

Full time

AC Milan

Monday, May 5, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

5.18

Implied 18.3%

Draw

3.98

Implied 24.0%

Away win

1.70

Implied 57.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 53.0%

Under 2.5

2.07

Implied 47.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHGenoa vs AC Milan
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.527426)
Under 2.5: 2.06 (implied 0.472813)
Full-time result:
Genoa: 5.06 (implied 0.187652)
Draw: 3.95 (implied 0.242307)
AC Milan: 1.72 (implied 0.570125)

TEAM STRENGTH

Genoa: 3/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
AC Milan: 5/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Genoa last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L W D L L (oldest → newest)
AC Milan last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend D W L W W (oldest → newest)
Genoa avg goals scored last 10: 0.70
AC Milan avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Genoa avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
AC Milan avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Genoa form quality: high (overall sample 10)
AC Milan form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Genoa over 2.5 rate last 10: 10%
AC Milan over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Genoa BTTS rate last 10: 30%
AC Milan BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Genoa clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5
AC Milan clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Genoa home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
AC Milan away form: 4W-0D-1L · 2.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
Genoa home over 2.5 rate: 20%
AC Milan away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Genoa home BTTS rate: 40%
AC Milan away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.333
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Genoa W-D-L vs AC Milan: 0-3-3

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available