SmartBettors

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

03

Full time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Saturday, September 30, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

5.45

Implied 17.6%

Draw

4.56

Implied 21.1%

Away win

1.61

Implied 61.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
LEAGUEGermany · Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
FSV Mainz 05: 5.80 (implied 0.164447)
Draw: 4.66 (implied 0.205888)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1.57 (implied 0.630120)

TEAM STRENGTH

FSV Mainz 05: league table unavailable
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

FSV Mainz 05 last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L D L L L (oldest → newest)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W W D W (oldest → newest)
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Bayer 04 Leverkusen avg goals scored last 10: 2.10
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals conceded last 10: 2.90
Bayer 04 Leverkusen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
FSV Mainz 05 form quality: low (overall sample 10)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen form quality: low (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

FSV Mainz 05 over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen BTTS rate last 10: 70%
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

FSV Mainz 05 home form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.6 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 100%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen away form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
FSV Mainz 05 home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen away over 2.5 rate: 60%
FSV Mainz 05 home BTTS rate: 100%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.500
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 50%
FSV Mainz 05 W-D-L vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 2-0-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available