SmartBettors

Eliteserien

Fredrikstad

02

Full time

Lillestrøm

Saturday, July 11, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.26

Implied 30.67%

Draw

3.67

Implied 27.25%

Away win

2.20

Implied 45.45%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.62

Implied 61.73%

Under 2.5

2.36

Implied 42.37%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHFredrikstad vs Lillestrøm
LEAGUENorway · Eliteserien · 2026 · mid season · matchday 12/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.75 (implied 57.14%)
Under 2.5: 2.14 (implied 46.73%)
Full-time result:
Fredrikstad: 3.05 (implied 32.79%)
Draw: 3.46 (implied 28.9%)
Lillestrøm: 2.40 (implied 41.67%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Fredrikstad: 9/16 · 14 pts · GD -7 · 14 pts off leader
Lillestrøm: 4/16 · 22 pts · GD +8 · 6 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Fredrikstad last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W D W (oldest → newest)
Lillestrøm last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W L W L L (oldest → newest)
Fredrikstad avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Lillestrøm avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Fredrikstad avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Lillestrøm avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Fredrikstad form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lillestrøm form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Fredrikstad over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Lillestrøm over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Fredrikstad BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Lillestrøm BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Fredrikstad clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 1
Lillestrøm clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Fredrikstad home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 100%
Lillestrøm away form: 2W-1D-2L · 0.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 0%
Fredrikstad home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Lillestrøm away over 2.5 rate: 0%
Fredrikstad home BTTS rate: 100%
Lillestrøm away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 50%
Fredrikstad W-D-L vs Lillestrøm: 2-0-0

MOTIVATION

Lillestrøm: chasing the title (6 pts to top)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0 → 0.25 (Δ 0.25, toward Lillestrøm)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Lillestrøm
Line activity: 1 change · 39/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0 → 0.25 (toward Lillestrøm)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.625)