SmartBettors

Serie A

Fiorentina

vs

Kickoff

…

Atalanta

Friday, May 22, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Fiorentina3
Draws0
Atalanta3
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 6 · Home -0.13 · Away +0.17

Fiorentina (0)Atalanta (0)
Active predictions
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Match briefing
MATCHFiorentina vs Atalanta
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.66 (implied 60.24%)
Under 2.5: 2.29 (implied 43.67%)
Full-time result:
Fiorentina: 2.80 (implied 35.71%)
Draw: 3.63 (implied 27.55%)
Atalanta: 2.50 (implied 40%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Fiorentina: 15/20 · 41 pts · GD -9 · 45 pts off leader
Atalanta: 7/20 · 58 pts · GD +15 · 28 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Fiorentina last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D D L D W (oldest → newest)
Atalanta last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L D W L (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Atalanta avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Atalanta avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Atalanta form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Atalanta over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Atalanta BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 4
Atalanta clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Fiorentina home form: 1W-4D-0L · 0.4 GF / 0.2 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 20%
Atalanta away form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Fiorentina home over 2.5 rate: 0%
Atalanta away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Fiorentina home BTTS rate: 20%
Atalanta away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.250
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 63%
Fiorentina W-D-L vs Atalanta: 4-1-3

MOTIVATION

Atalanta: defending UECL qualification (score 0.533)
Atalanta: defending UECL spot (+3 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.25 → 0 (Δ -0.25, toward Fiorentina)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Fiorentina
Line activity: 1 change · 6/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0.25 → 0 (toward Fiorentina)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.250)