SmartBettors

Serie A

Fiorentina

11

Full time

Atalanta

Monday, April 17, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.34

Implied 42.0%

Draw

3.57

Implied 27.3%

Away win

3.18

Implied 30.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.87

Implied 52.3%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.8%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHFiorentina vs Atalanta
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.90 (implied 0.514668)
Under 2.5: 2.01 (implied 0.485673)
Full-time result:
Fiorentina: 2.34 (implied 0.419992)
Draw: 3.54 (implied 0.275255)
Atalanta: 3.20 (implied 0.305064)

TEAM STRENGTH

Fiorentina: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Atalanta: 14/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Fiorentina last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W W W D (oldest → newest)
Atalanta last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D L W W L (oldest → newest)
Fiorentina avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Atalanta avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Fiorentina avg goals conceded last 10: 0.60
Atalanta avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Fiorentina form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Atalanta form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Fiorentina over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Atalanta over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Fiorentina BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Atalanta BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Fiorentina clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1
Atalanta clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 6

VENUE PROFILE

Fiorentina home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 80%
Atalanta away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Fiorentina home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Atalanta away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Fiorentina home BTTS rate: 80%
Atalanta away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Fiorentina W-D-L vs Atalanta: 3-0-1

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available