SmartBettors

Eredivisie

FC Twente

11

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Saturday, April 25, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.63

Implied 60.2%

Draw

4.40

Implied 21.4%

Away win

5.10

Implied 18.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHFC Twente vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
FC Twente: 1.67 (implied 0.588582)
Draw: 4.36 (implied 0.216685)
NEC Nijmegen: 4.83 (implied 0.194818)

TEAM STRENGTH

FC Twente: 4/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

FC Twente last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W L W W W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend W W D W D (oldest → newest)
FC Twente avg goals scored last 10: 2.20
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
FC Twente avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
FC Twente form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

FC Twente over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
FC Twente BTTS rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 80%
FC Twente clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

FC Twente home form: 4W-0D-1L · 2.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 80%
FC Twente home over 2.5 rate: 60%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 40%
FC Twente home BTTS rate: 40%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.375
Over 2.5 rate: 63%
BTTS rate: 50%
FC Twente W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 4-3-1

MOTIVATION

FC Twente: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
FC Twente: relegation danger (close to drop)
FC Twente: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.75 (Δ -0.25, toward FC Twente)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward FC Twente
Line activity: 3 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.75 (toward FC Twente)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)