SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Excelsior

02

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Saturday, April 4, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Excelsior1
Draws1
NEC Nijmegen3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.75

Implied 25.4%

Draw

4.03

Implied 23.6%

Away win

1.92

Implied 51.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHExcelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Excelsior: 3.63 (implied 0.263713)
Draw: 4.01 (implied 0.237869)
NEC Nijmegen: 1.96 (implied 0.498504)

TEAM STRENGTH

Excelsior: 17/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

Excelsior last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L L L L D (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D L W W D (oldest → newest)
Excelsior avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 2.20
Excelsior avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Excelsior form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Excelsior over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Excelsior BTTS rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Excelsior clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Excelsior home form: 0W-2D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.4 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 100%
Excelsior home over 2.5 rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Excelsior home BTTS rate: 80%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.000
Over 2.5 rate: 80%
BTTS rate: 40%
Excelsior W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 1-1-3

MOTIVATION

NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Excelsior: currently in the relegation zone
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available