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La Liga

Espanyol

vs

Kickoff

Real Sociedad

Saturday, May 23, 2026 -
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Match briefing
MATCHEspanyol vs Real Sociedad
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 54.05%)
Under 2.5: 2.04 (implied 49.02%)
Full-time result:
Espanyol: 2.55 (implied 39.22%)
Draw: 3.48 (implied 28.74%)
Real Sociedad: 2.82 (implied 35.46%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Espanyol: 11/20 · 45 pts · GD -12 · 49 pts off leader
Real Sociedad: 10/20 · 45 pts · GD -2 · 49 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Espanyol last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D L L W W (oldest → newest)
Real Sociedad last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend D L D D L (oldest → newest)
Espanyol avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Real Sociedad avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Espanyol avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Real Sociedad avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Espanyol form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Real Sociedad form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Espanyol over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Real Sociedad over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Espanyol BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Real Sociedad BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Espanyol clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4
Real Sociedad clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Espanyol home form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Real Sociedad away form: 0W-3D-2L · 1.4 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Espanyol home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Real Sociedad away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Espanyol home BTTS rate: 40%
Real Sociedad away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.571
Over 2.5 rate: 57%
BTTS rate: 57%
Espanyol W-D-L vs Real Sociedad: 1-1-5

MOTIVATION

Espanyol: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.533)
Espanyol: chasing UEL qualification (6 pts to line)
Espanyol: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)
Real Sociedad: chasing UEL qualification (6 pts to line)
Real Sociedad: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → 0 (Δ 0.25, toward Real Sociedad)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Real Sociedad
Line activity: 1 change · 7/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.25 → 0 (toward Real Sociedad)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.292)