SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

vs

Kickoff

Mjällby

Thursday, May 21, 2026 -
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 11 · Home +0.14 · Away -0.07

Elfsborg (0)Mjällby (0)
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Match briefing
MATCHElfsborg vs Mjällby
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · early season · matchday 8/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.08 (implied 48.08%)
Under 2.5: 1.77 (implied 56.5%)
Full-time result:
Elfsborg: 2.98 (implied 33.56%)
Draw: 3.20 (implied 31.25%)
Mjällby: 2.51 (implied 39.84%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Elfsborg: 4/16 · 15 pts · GD +5 · 7 pts off leader
Mjällby: 6/16 · 13 pts · GD +3 · 9 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Elfsborg last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W L D W D (oldest → newest)
Mjällby last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend D W W W L (oldest → newest)
Elfsborg avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Mjällby avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Elfsborg avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Mjällby avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Elfsborg form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Mjällby form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Elfsborg over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Mjällby over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Elfsborg BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Mjällby BTTS rate last 10: 20%
Elfsborg clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
Mjällby clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Elfsborg home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Mjällby away form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 40%
Elfsborg home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Mjällby away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Elfsborg home BTTS rate: 40%
Mjällby away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.375
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 50%
Elfsborg W-D-L vs Mjällby: 3-3-2

MOTIVATION

Elfsborg: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.678)
Elfsborg: chasing UECL qualification (1 pts to line)
Elfsborg: chasing playoff spot
Mjällby: chasing UECL qualification (3 pts to line)
Mjällby: chasing playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0 → 0 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 4 changes · 11/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0 → 0.25 (toward Mjällby)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Early-season uncertainty (early season — moderate confidence)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: early season
Season certainty: 0.70 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.458)