SmartBettors

Championship

Derby County

23

Full time

Watford

Saturday, November 22, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.47

Implied 39.4%

Draw

3.21

Implied 30.0%

Away win

3.15

Implied 30.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHDerby County vs Watford
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Derby County: 2.51 (implied 0.387597)
Draw: 3.17 (implied 0.304692)
Watford: 3.14 (implied 0.307692)

TEAM STRENGTH

Derby County: league table unavailable
Watford: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Derby County last 5: 5W-0D-0L · trend W W W W W (oldest → newest)
Watford last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W L W D D (oldest → newest)
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Watford avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Watford avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Derby County form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Watford form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Watford over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Watford BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Watford clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Derby County home form: 3W-2D-0L · 1.2 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Watford away form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.8 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Derby County home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Watford away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Derby County home BTTS rate: 60%
Watford away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Derby County W-D-L vs Watford: 0-0-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available