SmartBettors

Championship

Derby County

vs

Kickoff

…

Cardiff City

Saturday, August 22, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Derby County1
Draws0
Cardiff City3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

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Match briefing
MATCHDerby County vs Cardiff City
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/46
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.00 (implied 50%)
Under 2.5: 1.84 (implied 54.35%)
Full-time result:
Derby County: 1.99 (implied 50.25%)
Draw: 3.57 (implied 28.01%)
Cardiff City: 3.71 (implied 26.95%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Derby County: 21/24 · 0 pts · GD +0 · 3 pts off leader
Cardiff City: 14/24 · 1 pts · GD +0 · 2 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Derby County last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W L W L L (oldest → newest)
Cardiff City last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W W L L D (oldest → newest)
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Cardiff City avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Cardiff City avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Derby County form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Cardiff City form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Cardiff City over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Cardiff City BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0
Cardiff City clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Derby County home form: 4W-0D-1L · 1.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Cardiff City away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Derby County home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Cardiff City away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Derby County home BTTS rate: 40%
Cardiff City away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.500
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 25%
Derby County W-D-L vs Cardiff City: 1-0-3

MOTIVATION

Derby County: relegation danger (close to drop)
Derby County: chasing playoff spot
Cardiff City: relegation danger (close to drop)
Cardiff City: chasing playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.5 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 3/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.125)