SmartBettors

La Liga

Deportivo Alavés

vs

Kickoff

…

Rayo Vallecano

Saturday, May 23, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Deportivo Alavés2
Draws0
Rayo Vallecano4
Active predictions
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Match briefing
MATCHDeportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.03 (implied 49.26%)
Under 2.5: 1.86 (implied 53.76%)
Full-time result:
Deportivo Alavés: 2.55 (implied 39.22%)
Draw: 3.37 (implied 29.67%)
Rayo Vallecano: 2.91 (implied 34.36%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Deportivo Alavés: 13/20 · 43 pts · GD -11 · 51 pts off leader
Rayo Vallecano: 8/20 · 47 pts · GD -4 · 47 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Deportivo Alavés last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W L D W W (oldest → newest)
Rayo Vallecano last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D W D D W (oldest → newest)
Deportivo Alavés avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Rayo Vallecano avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Deportivo Alavés avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Rayo Vallecano avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Deportivo Alavés form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Rayo Vallecano form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Deportivo Alavés over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Rayo Vallecano over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Deportivo Alavés BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Rayo Vallecano BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Deportivo Alavés clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 0
Rayo Vallecano clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Deportivo Alavés home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Rayo Vallecano away form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Deportivo Alavés home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Rayo Vallecano away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Deportivo Alavés home BTTS rate: 80%
Rayo Vallecano away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 1.500
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 0%
Deportivo Alavés W-D-L vs Rayo Vallecano: 3-0-5

MOTIVATION

Rayo Vallecano: chasing UECL qualification (score 0.678)
Deportivo Alavés: chasing UECL qualification (5 pts to line)
Rayo Vallecano: chasing UEL qualification (4 pts to line)
Rayo Vallecano: chasing UECL qualification (1 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → 0 (Δ 0.25, toward Rayo Vallecano)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Rayo Vallecano
Line activity: 1 change · 7/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.25 → 0 (toward Rayo Vallecano)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.292)