SmartBettors

Premier League

Chelsea

21

Full time

Tottenham Hotspur

Tuesday, May 19, 2026 -
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 30 · Home +0.15 · Away -0.08

Chelsea (-0.25)Tottenham Hotspur (+0.25)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.27

Implied 44.05%

Draw

3.39

Implied 29.5%

Away win

3.43

Implied 29.15%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.92

Implied 52.08%

Under 2.5

1.99

Implied 50.25%

Captured

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHChelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.92 (implied 52.08%)
Under 2.5: 1.99 (implied 50.25%)
Full-time result:
Chelsea: 2.26 (implied 44.25%)
Draw: 3.40 (implied 29.41%)
Tottenham Hotspur: 3.45 (implied 28.99%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Chelsea: 8/20 · 52 pts · GD +7 · 30 pts off leader
Tottenham Hotspur: 17/20 · 38 pts · GD -10 · 44 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Chelsea last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L W L D L (oldest → newest)
Tottenham Hotspur last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend L D W W D (oldest → newest)
Chelsea avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Tottenham Hotspur avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Chelsea avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Tottenham Hotspur avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Chelsea form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Tottenham Hotspur form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Chelsea over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Tottenham Hotspur over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Chelsea BTTS rate last 10: 20%
Tottenham Hotspur BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Chelsea clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 6
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Chelsea home form: 1W-0D-4L · 0.4 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Tottenham Hotspur away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Chelsea home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Tottenham Hotspur away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Chelsea home BTTS rate: 20%
Tottenham Hotspur away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 38%
BTTS rate: 38%
Chelsea W-D-L vs Tottenham Hotspur: 6-1-1

MOTIVATION

Chelsea: chasing UEL qualification (4 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.25 (Δ 0.25, toward Tottenham Hotspur)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Tottenham Hotspur
Line activity: 3 changes · 30/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.25 (toward Tottenham Hotspur)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.250)