SmartBettors

Premier League

Chelsea

13

Full time

Nottingham Forest

Monday, May 4, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.44

Implied 68.4%

Draw

4.90

Implied 19.3%

Away win

7.50

Implied 12.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHChelsea vs Nottingham Forest
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Chelsea: 1.51 (implied 0.652316)
Draw: 4.65 (implied 0.204290)
Nottingham Forest: 6.55 (implied 0.143390)

TEAM STRENGTH

Chelsea: league table unavailable
Nottingham Forest: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Chelsea last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W L L L W (oldest → newest)
Nottingham Forest last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D W D W W (oldest → newest)
Chelsea avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Nottingham Forest avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Chelsea avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Nottingham Forest avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Chelsea form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Nottingham Forest form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Chelsea over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Nottingham Forest over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Chelsea BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Nottingham Forest BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Chelsea clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5
Nottingham Forest clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Chelsea home form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.6 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 0%
Nottingham Forest away form: 2W-1D-2L · 2.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 60%
Chelsea home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Nottingham Forest away over 2.5 rate: 100%
Chelsea home BTTS rate: 0%
Nottingham Forest away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.571
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 57%
Chelsea W-D-L vs Nottingham Forest: 3-3-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)