SmartBettors

La Liga

Celta de Vigo

vs

Kickoff

Sevilla

Saturday, May 23, 2026 -
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Match briefing
MATCHCelta de Vigo vs Sevilla
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.98 (implied 50.51%)
Under 2.5: 1.91 (implied 52.36%)
Full-time result:
Celta de Vigo: 1.79 (implied 55.87%)
Draw: 3.73 (implied 26.81%)
Sevilla: 4.81 (implied 20.79%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Celta de Vigo: 6/20 · 51 pts · GD +4 · 43 pts off leader · zone: uel
Sevilla: 14/20 · 43 pts · GD -13 · 51 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Celta de Vigo last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W W L D (oldest → newest)
Sevilla last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L W W W L (oldest → newest)
Celta de Vigo avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Sevilla avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Celta de Vigo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Sevilla avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Celta de Vigo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Sevilla form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Celta de Vigo over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Sevilla over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Celta de Vigo BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Sevilla BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Celta de Vigo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
Sevilla clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Celta de Vigo home form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.8 GF / 2.6 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 80%
Sevilla away form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.2 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Celta de Vigo home over 2.5 rate: 100%
Sevilla away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Celta de Vigo home BTTS rate: 80%
Sevilla away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.750
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 75%
Celta de Vigo W-D-L vs Sevilla: 3-4-1

MOTIVATION

Celta de Vigo: defending UEL qualification (score 0.533)
Celta de Vigo: chasing UCL qualification (6 pts to line)
Celta de Vigo: defending UEL spot (+3 pts cushion)
Celta de Vigo: defending UECL spot (+4 pts cushion)
Sevilla: chasing UECL qualification (5 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 7/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.292)