SmartBettors

La Liga

Celta de Vigo

11

Full time

Atlético de Madrid

Sunday, October 5, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.73

Implied 20.2%

Draw

3.74

Implied 25.7%

Away win

1.81

Implied 54.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.00

Implied 48.8%

Under 2.5

1.91

Implied 51.2%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHCelta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.91 (implied 0.512295)
Under 2.5: 2.00 (implied 0.488043)
Full-time result:
Celta de Vigo: 4.69 (implied 0.203459)
Draw: 3.80 (implied 0.252717)
Atlético Madrid: 1.81 (implied 0.543774)

TEAM STRENGTH

Celta de Vigo: 1/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
Atlético Madrid: 18/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Celta de Vigo last 5: 0W-4D-1L · trend D D D D L (oldest → newest)
Atlético Madrid last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D W D W W (oldest → newest)
Celta de Vigo avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Atlético Madrid avg goals scored last 10: 2.20
Celta de Vigo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Atlético Madrid avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Celta de Vigo form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Atlético Madrid form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Celta de Vigo over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Atlético Madrid over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Celta de Vigo BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Atlético Madrid BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Celta de Vigo clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1
Atlético Madrid clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Celta de Vigo home form: 0W-3D-2L · 0.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 80%
Atlético Madrid away form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Celta de Vigo home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Atlético Madrid away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Celta de Vigo home BTTS rate: 80%
Atlético Madrid away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.250
Over 2.5 rate: 38%
BTTS rate: 38%
Celta de Vigo W-D-L vs Atlético Madrid: 0-1-7

MOTIVATION

Celta de Vigo: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Celta de Vigo: relegation danger (close to drop)
Celta de Vigo: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Celta de Vigo: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Celta de Vigo: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Atlético Madrid: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available