SmartBettors

Serie B

Catanzaro

30

Full time

Palermo

Sunday, May 17, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Catanzaro3
Draws1
Palermo2
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 42 · Home -0.63 · Away +0.37

Catanzaro (-0.25)Palermo (+0.25)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.45

Implied 40.82%

Draw

3.09

Implied 32.36%

Away win

3.32

Implied 30.12%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.29

Implied 43.67%

Under 2.5

1.68

Implied 59.52%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHCatanzaro vs Palermo
LEAGUEItaly · Serie B · 2025/2026 · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.23 (implied 44.84%)
Under 2.5: 1.71 (implied 58.48%)
Full-time result:
Catanzaro: 2.41 (implied 41.49%)
Draw: 3.13 (implied 31.95%)
Palermo: 3.36 (implied 29.76%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Catanzaro: 5/20 · 59 pts · GD +11 · 23 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Palermo: 4/20 · 72 pts · GD +28 · 10 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff

RECENT FORM

Catanzaro last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D W L L W (oldest → newest)
Palermo last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D W D W L (oldest → newest)
Catanzaro avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Palermo avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Catanzaro avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Palermo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Catanzaro form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Palermo form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Catanzaro over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Palermo over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Catanzaro BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Palermo BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Catanzaro clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0
Palermo clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Catanzaro home form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.4 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Palermo away form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.6 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Catanzaro home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Palermo away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Catanzaro home BTTS rate: 80%
Palermo away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 83%
Catanzaro W-D-L vs Palermo: 3-1-2

MOTIVATION

Stakes: promotion play-off knockout — Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals — both sides qualified from the regular-season bracket; winner advances in the promotion path
Catanzaro: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 5/20)
Palermo: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 4/20)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.25 → -0.25 (Δ -0.5, toward Catanzaro)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Catanzaro
Line activity: 4 changes · 42/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0.25 → 0 (toward Catanzaro)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.750)