SmartBettors

Serie B

Catanzaro

30

Full time

Palermo

Sunday, May 17, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Catanzaro3
Draws1
Palermo2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.51

Implied 38.7%

Draw

3.11

Implied 31.1%

Away win

3.20

Implied 30.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.07

Implied 46.6%

Under 2.5

1.82

Implied 53.4%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHCatanzaro vs Palermo
LEAGUEItaly · Serie B · 2026/2027 · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.466200)
Under 2.5: 1.82 (implied 0.533903)
Full-time result:
Catanzaro: 2.44 (implied 0.398883)
Draw: 3.12 (implied 0.309693)
Palermo: 3.31 (implied 0.291375)

TEAM STRENGTH

Catanzaro: league table unavailable
Palermo: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Catanzaro last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D W L L W (oldest → newest)
Palermo last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D W D W L (oldest → newest)
Catanzaro avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Palermo avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Catanzaro avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Palermo avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Catanzaro form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Palermo form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Catanzaro over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Palermo over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Catanzaro BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Palermo BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Catanzaro clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0
Palermo clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Catanzaro home form: 2W-2D-1L · 2.4 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Palermo away form: 1W-2D-2L · 0.6 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Catanzaro home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Palermo away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Catanzaro home BTTS rate: 80%
Palermo away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 6 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 83%
Catanzaro W-D-L vs Palermo: 3-1-2

MOTIVATION

Stakes: promotion play-off fixture — Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals — knockout tie with a promotion berth on the line

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.25 → -0.25 (Δ -0.5, toward Catanzaro)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_home — steady drift toward Catanzaro
Line activity: 4 changes · 42/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0.25 → 0 (toward Catanzaro)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.750)