SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Castellón

11

Full time

Almería

Saturday, June 6, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Castellón3
Draws0
Almería1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.83

Implied 54.64%

Draw

3.88

Implied 25.77%

Away win

4.05

Implied 24.69%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.64

Implied 60.98%

Under 2.5

2.28

Implied 43.86%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHCastellón vs Almería
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.64 (implied 60.98%)
Under 2.5: 2.28 (implied 43.86%)
Full-time result:
Castellón: 1.83 (implied 54.64%)
Draw: 3.88 (implied 25.77%)
Almería: 4.05 (implied 24.69%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Castellón: 6/22 · 72 pts · GD +19 · 10 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff

RECENT FORM

Castellón last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend L D D W W (oldest → newest)
Almería last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W D L L W (oldest → newest)
Castellón avg goals scored last 10: 1.90
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Castellón avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Castellón form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Castellón over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Castellón BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Castellón clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 0
Almería clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Castellón home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 100%
Almería away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.2 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Castellón home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Almería away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Castellón home BTTS rate: 100%
Almería away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.750
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Castellón W-D-L vs Almería: 3-0-1

MOTIVATION

Stakes: promotion play-off knockout — Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals — both sides qualified from the regular-season bracket; winner advances in the promotion path
Castellón: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 6/22)
Almería: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 3/22)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.5 (Δ 0.25, toward Almería)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Almería
Line activity: 1 change · 35/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -0.5 (toward Almería)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.458)