SmartBettors

Casa Pia

11

Full time

Rio Ave

Saturday, May 16, 2026 -
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 21 · Home +0.24 · Away -0.34

Casa Pia (-0.5)Rio Ave (+0.5)
Match briefing
MATCHCasa Pia vs Rio Ave
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 34/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

No odds available for this bookmaker

TEAM STRENGTH

Casa Pia: 16/18 · 30 pts · GD -26 · 58 pts off leader · zone: relegation playoff
Rio Ave: 13/18 · 36 pts · GD -22 · 52 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Casa Pia last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend D L L L W (oldest → newest)
Rio Ave last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend W D L D L (oldest → newest)
Casa Pia avg goals scored last 10: 0.50
Rio Ave avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Casa Pia avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Rio Ave avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Casa Pia form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Rio Ave form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Casa Pia over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Rio Ave over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Casa Pia BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Rio Ave BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Casa Pia clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5
Rio Ave clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Casa Pia home form: 0W-3D-2L · 0.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 40%
Rio Ave away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.0 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Casa Pia home over 2.5 rate: 0%
Rio Ave away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Casa Pia home BTTS rate: 40%
Rio Ave away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.429
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 71%
Casa Pia W-D-L vs Rio Ave: 2-3-2

MOTIVATION

Casa Pia: currently in the relegation zone
Casa Pia: defending playoff spot
Rio Ave: chasing playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.5 (Δ 0.25, toward Rio Ave)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_away — late sharp money toward Rio Ave
Line activity: 1 change · 21/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -0.5 (toward Rio Ave)

SIGNALS

Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.875)