SmartBettors

Casa Pia

11

Full time

Rio Ave

Saturday, May 16, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.89

Implied 51.5%

Draw

3.48

Implied 27.3%

Away win

4.43

Implied 21.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.99

Implied 48.5%

Under 2.5

1.88

Implied 51.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHCasa Pia vs Rio Ave
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.96 (implied 0.492854)
Under 2.5: 1.91 (implied 0.507099)
Full-time result:
Casa Pia: 1.74 (implied 0.562430)
Draw: 3.86 (implied 0.244021)
Rio Ave: 4.82 (implied 0.193498)

TEAM STRENGTH

Casa Pia: league table unavailable
Rio Ave: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Casa Pia last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend D L L L W (oldest → newest)
Rio Ave last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend W D L D L (oldest → newest)
Casa Pia avg goals scored last 10: 0.50
Rio Ave avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Casa Pia avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Rio Ave avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Casa Pia form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Rio Ave form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Casa Pia over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Rio Ave over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Casa Pia BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Rio Ave BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Casa Pia clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5
Rio Ave clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Casa Pia home form: 0W-3D-2L · 0.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 40%
Rio Ave away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.0 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Casa Pia home over 2.5 rate: 0%
Rio Ave away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Casa Pia home BTTS rate: 40%
Rio Ave away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.429
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 71%
Casa Pia W-D-L vs Rio Ave: 2-3-2

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.5 (Δ 0.25, toward Rio Ave)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_away — late sharp money toward Rio Ave
Line activity: 1 change · 21/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -0.5 (toward Rio Ave)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.875)