SmartBettors

Liga Portugal

Casa Pia

07

Full time

Benfica

Monday, August 17, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Casa Pia1
Draws3
Benfica2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

15.24

Implied 6.56%

Draw

7.21

Implied 13.87%

Away win

1.19

Implied 84.03%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.52

Implied 65.79%

Under 2.5

2.51

Implied 39.84%

Captured …

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHCasa Pia vs Benfica
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.52 (implied 65.79%)
Under 2.5: 2.51 (implied 39.84%)
Full-time result:
Casa Pia: 15.24 (implied 6.56%)
Draw: 7.21 (implied 13.87%)
Benfica: 1.19 (implied 84.03%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Casa Pia: 18/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · 6 pts off leader · zone: relegation
Benfica: 4/18 · 4 pts · GD +0 · 2 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Casa Pia last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L L W D L (oldest → newest)
Benfica last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend W D D W D (oldest → newest)
Casa Pia avg goals scored last 10: 0.50
Benfica avg goals scored last 10: 2.30
Casa Pia avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Benfica avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Casa Pia form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Benfica form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Casa Pia over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Benfica over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Casa Pia BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Benfica BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Casa Pia clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5
Benfica clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Casa Pia home form: 0W-3D-2L · 0.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 40%
Benfica away form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 100%
Casa Pia home over 2.5 rate: 0%
Benfica away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Casa Pia home BTTS rate: 40%
Benfica away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Casa Pia W-D-L vs Benfica: 1-3-4

MOTIVATION

Benfica: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Casa Pia: currently in the relegation zone
Casa Pia: chasing UCL qualification (6 pts to line)
Casa Pia: chasing UEL qualification (6 pts to line)
Casa Pia: chasing UECL qualification (4 pts to line)
Benfica: chasing the title (2 pts to top)
Benfica: relegation danger (close to drop)
Benfica: chasing UCL qualification (2 pts to line)
Benfica: chasing UEL qualification (2 pts to line)
Benfica: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 1.75 → 2 (Δ 0.25, toward Benfica)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Benfica
Line activity: 1 change · 39/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 1.75 → 2 (toward Benfica)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.625)