SmartBettors

Premier League

Burnley

22

Full time

Aston Villa

Sunday, May 10, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Burnley0
Draws1
Aston Villa4
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

6.50

Implied 14.5%

Draw

4.55

Implied 20.9%

Away win

1.53

Implied 64.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 53.0%

Under 2.5

2.07

Implied 47.1%

Captured …

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHBurnley vs Aston Villa
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.529661)
Under 2.5: 2.07 (implied 0.470588)
Full-time result:
Burnley: 6.30 (implied 0.147471)
Draw: 4.55 (implied 0.206868)
Aston Villa: 1.52 (implied 0.645578)

TEAM STRENGTH

Burnley: league table unavailable
Aston Villa: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Burnley last 5: 0W-0D-5L · trend L L L L L (oldest → newest)
Aston Villa last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W D W L L (oldest → newest)
Burnley avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Aston Villa avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Burnley avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
Aston Villa avg goals conceded last 10: 2.00
Burnley form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Aston Villa form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Burnley over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Aston Villa over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Burnley BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Aston Villa BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Burnley clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4
Aston Villa clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Burnley home form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.8 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Aston Villa away form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Burnley home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Aston Villa away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Burnley home BTTS rate: 40%
Aston Villa away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.600
Over 2.5 rate: 80%
BTTS rate: 100%
Burnley W-D-L vs Aston Villa: 0-1-4

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.75 → 1 (Δ 0.25, toward Aston Villa)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Aston Villa
Line activity: 3 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0.75 → 1 (toward Aston Villa)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)