SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Burgos

00

Full time

Castellón

Monday, November 10, 2025 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.81

Implied 34.5%

Draw

3.04

Implied 31.8%

Away win

2.87

Implied 33.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.95

Implied 48.5%

Under 2.5

1.85

Implied 51.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHBurgos vs Castellón
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 42/42
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.95 (implied 0.484966)
Under 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.514933)
Full-time result:
Burgos: 2.79 (implied 0.347343)
Draw: 3.03 (implied 0.318979)
Castellón: 2.90 (implied 0.333778)

TEAM STRENGTH

Burgos: 7/22 · 72 pts · GD +15 · 10 pts off leader
Castellón: 6/22 · 72 pts · GD +19 · 10 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff

RECENT FORM

Burgos last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L W W D W (oldest → newest)
Castellón last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend D L L L W (oldest → newest)
Burgos avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Castellón avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Burgos avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Castellón avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Burgos form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Castellón form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Burgos over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Castellón over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Burgos BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Castellón BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Burgos clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Castellón clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Burgos home form: 2W-2D-1L · 0.8 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Castellón away form: 2W-1D-2L · 0.8 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 20%
Burgos home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Castellón away over 2.5 rate: 20%
Burgos home BTTS rate: 40%
Castellón away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Burgos W-D-L vs Castellón: 0-0-2

MOTIVATION

Castellón: defending playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available