SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Auxerre

10

Full time

Toulouse

Sunday, September 21, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 4 matches

Auxerre0
Draws2
Toulouse2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.54

Implied 27.4%

Draw

3.31

Implied 29.3%

Away win

2.26

Implied 43.3%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.09

Implied 46.5%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.5%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAuxerre vs Toulouse
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.10 (implied 0.464037)
Under 2.5: 1.83 (implied 0.536193)
Full-time result:
Auxerre: 3.27 (implied 0.297177)
Draw: 3.31 (implied 0.293513)
Toulouse: 2.39 (implied 0.409668)

TEAM STRENGTH

Auxerre: 13/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Toulouse: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel

RECENT FORM

Auxerre last 5: 1W-0D-4L · trend L W L L L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W W W L L (oldest → newest)
Auxerre avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Auxerre avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Auxerre form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Toulouse form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Auxerre over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Auxerre BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Auxerre clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Auxerre home form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Toulouse away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Auxerre home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Toulouse away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Auxerre home BTTS rate: 80%
Toulouse away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.250
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Auxerre W-D-L vs Toulouse: 0-2-2

MOTIVATION

Toulouse: defending UEL qualification (score 0.850)
Auxerre: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: relegation danger (close to drop)
Toulouse: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Toulouse: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available