SmartBettors

La Liga

Atlético de Madrid

20

Full time

Villarreal

Saturday, September 13, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Atlético Madrid2
Draws3
Villarreal1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.83

Implied 53.6%

Draw

3.65

Implied 26.3%

Away win

4.74

Implied 20.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.91

Implied 51.2%

Under 2.5

2.00

Implied 48.8%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAtlético Madrid vs Villarreal
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.527426)
Under 2.5: 2.06 (implied 0.472813)
Full-time result:
Atlético Madrid: 1.82 (implied 0.539957)
Draw: 3.72 (implied 0.258331)
Villarreal: 4.73 (implied 0.201735)

TEAM STRENGTH

Atlético Madrid: 18/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
Villarreal: 17/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Atlético Madrid last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W W L D D (oldest → newest)
Villarreal last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W W W D (oldest → newest)
Atlético Madrid avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Villarreal avg goals scored last 10: 2.40
Atlético Madrid avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Villarreal avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Atlético Madrid form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Villarreal form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Atlético Madrid over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Villarreal over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Atlético Madrid BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Villarreal BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Atlético Madrid clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 3
Villarreal clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Atlético Madrid home form: 4W-1D-0L · 3.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Villarreal away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Atlético Madrid home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Villarreal away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Atlético Madrid home BTTS rate: 60%
Villarreal away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.375
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 88%
Atlético Madrid W-D-L vs Villarreal: 2-5-1

MOTIVATION

Atlético Madrid: currently in the relegation zone
Villarreal: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available