SmartBettors

La Liga

Atlético de Madrid

11

Full time

Real Madrid

Sunday, September 29, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.79

Implied 35.0%

Draw

3.21

Implied 30.3%

Away win

2.80

Implied 34.8%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.06

Implied 47.3%

Under 2.5

1.85

Implied 52.7%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAtlético Madrid vs Real Madrid
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.06 (implied 0.472813)
Under 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.527426)
Full-time result:
Atlético Madrid: 2.76 (implied 0.353357)
Draw: 3.21 (implied 0.302663)
Real Madrid: 2.83 (implied 0.344353)

TEAM STRENGTH

Atlético Madrid: 18/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
Real Madrid: 16/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Atlético Madrid last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D W W D W (oldest → newest)
Real Madrid last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend D W W W W (oldest → newest)
Atlético Madrid avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Real Madrid avg goals scored last 10: 2.50
Atlético Madrid avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Real Madrid avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Atlético Madrid form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Real Madrid form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Atlético Madrid over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Real Madrid over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Atlético Madrid BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Real Madrid BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Atlético Madrid clean sheets last 10: 7 · failed to score: 1
Real Madrid clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Atlético Madrid home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.6 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 20%
Real Madrid away form: 2W-3D-0L · 2.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Atlético Madrid home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Real Madrid away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Atlético Madrid home BTTS rate: 20%
Real Madrid away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.750
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 75%
Atlético Madrid W-D-L vs Real Madrid: 2-3-3

MOTIVATION

Atlético Madrid: currently in the relegation zone
Real Madrid: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available