SmartBettors

La Liga

Atlético de Madrid

30

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

Thursday, April 24, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Atlético Madrid4
Draws2
Rayo Vallecano0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.51

Implied 65.4%

Draw

4.35

Implied 21.8%

Away win

7.20

Implied 12.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.03

Implied 48.0%

Under 2.5

1.88

Implied 52.1%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAtlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
LEAGUESpain · La Liga · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.02 (implied 0.482160)
Under 2.5: 1.88 (implied 0.518135)
Full-time result:
Atlético Madrid: 1.51 (implied 0.652316)
Draw: 4.36 (implied 0.217486)
Rayo Vallecano: 7.16 (implied 0.130073)

TEAM STRENGTH

Atlético Madrid: 18/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation
Rayo Vallecano: 6/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual

RECENT FORM

Atlético Madrid last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D L W W L (oldest → newest)
Rayo Vallecano last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D W L L D (oldest → newest)
Atlético Madrid avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Rayo Vallecano avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Atlético Madrid avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Rayo Vallecano avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Atlético Madrid form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Rayo Vallecano form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Atlético Madrid over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Rayo Vallecano over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Atlético Madrid BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Rayo Vallecano BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Atlético Madrid clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Rayo Vallecano clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Atlético Madrid home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Rayo Vallecano away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Atlético Madrid home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Rayo Vallecano away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Atlético Madrid home BTTS rate: 60%
Rayo Vallecano away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.857
Over 2.5 rate: 43%
BTTS rate: 57%
Atlético Madrid W-D-L vs Rayo Vallecano: 5-2-0

MOTIVATION

Rayo Vallecano: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Atlético Madrid: currently in the relegation zone
Rayo Vallecano: relegation danger (close to drop)
Rayo Vallecano: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available