SmartBettors

Premier League

Aston Villa

11

Full time

Leeds United

Saturday, February 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Aston Villa3
Draws2
Leeds United0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.86

Implied 52.5%

Draw

3.61

Implied 26.4%

Away win

4.50

Implied 21.0%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.87

Implied 52.1%

Under 2.5

2.02

Implied 48.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAston Villa vs Leeds United
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.87 (implied 0.520562)
Under 2.5: 2.02 (implied 0.479846)
Full-time result:
Aston Villa: 1.86 (implied 0.525210)
Draw: 3.61 (implied 0.264410)
Leeds United: 4.50 (implied 0.210438)

TEAM STRENGTH

Aston Villa: league table unavailable
Leeds United: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Aston Villa last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L D W L (oldest → newest)
Leeds United last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D L W D D (oldest → newest)
Aston Villa avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Leeds United avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Aston Villa avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Leeds United avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Aston Villa form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Leeds United form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Aston Villa over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Leeds United over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Aston Villa BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Leeds United BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Aston Villa clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3
Leeds United clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Aston Villa home form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Leeds United away form: 1W-3D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 100%
Aston Villa home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Leeds United away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Aston Villa home BTTS rate: 40%
Leeds United away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 80%
BTTS rate: 60%
Aston Villa W-D-L vs Leeds United: 3-2-0

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available