SmartBettors

Premier League

Arsenal

10

Full time

Burnley

Monday, May 18, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Arsenal4
Draws1
Burnley0
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 28 · Home +0.22 · Away -0.16

Arsenal (-2.5)Burnley (+2.5)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.12

Implied 89.29%

Draw

10.50

Implied 9.52%

Away win

22.50

Implied 4.44%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.37

Implied 72.99%

Under 2.5

3.04

Implied 32.89%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHArsenal vs Burnley
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.44 (implied 69.44%)
Under 2.5: 2.76 (implied 36.23%)
Full-time result:
Arsenal: 1.10 (implied 90.91%)
Draw: 11.36 (implied 8.8%)
Burnley: 20.50 (implied 4.88%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Arsenal: 1/20 · 82 pts · GD +43 · leader · zone: ucl
Burnley: 19/20 · 21 pts · GD -37 · 61 pts off leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Arsenal last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L L W W W (oldest → newest)
Burnley last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L L L L D (oldest → newest)
Arsenal avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Burnley avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Arsenal avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Burnley avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
Arsenal form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Burnley form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Arsenal over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Burnley over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Arsenal BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Burnley BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Arsenal clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1
Burnley clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Arsenal home form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Burnley away form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.8 GF / 2.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Arsenal home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Burnley away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Arsenal home BTTS rate: 20%
Burnley away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.400
Over 2.5 rate: 40%
BTTS rate: 20%
Arsenal W-D-L vs Burnley: 4-1-0

MOTIVATION

Arsenal: chasing the title (0 pts to top)
Burnley: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -2.75 → -2.5 (Δ 0.25, toward Burnley)
AH movement archetype: monotonic_away — steady drift toward Burnley
Line activity: 1 change · 28/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -2.75 → -2.5 (toward Burnley)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.167)