SmartBettors

Arouca

31

Full time

Tondela

Saturday, May 16, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.10

Implied 31.0%

Draw

3.49

Implied 27.4%

Away win

2.33

Implied 41.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Implied 54.05%

Under 2.5

2.02

Implied 49.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHArouca vs Tondela
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Arouca: 3.33 (implied 0.287439)
Draw: 3.58 (implied 0.266667)
Tondela: 2.18 (implied 0.445831)

TEAM STRENGTH

Arouca: league table unavailable
Tondela: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Arouca last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W L D W (oldest → newest)
Tondela last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L D W W (oldest → newest)
Arouca avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Tondela avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Arouca avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Tondela avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Arouca form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Tondela form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Arouca over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Tondela over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Arouca BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Tondela BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Arouca clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2
Tondela clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Arouca home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Tondela away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Arouca home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Tondela away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Arouca home BTTS rate: 60%
Tondela away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.333
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 67%
Arouca W-D-L vs Tondela: 1-1-1

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.25 → 0.25 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)