SmartBettors

Liga Portugal

Arouca

30

Full time

Nacional

Saturday, February 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Arouca3
Draws0
Nacional0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.37

Implied 40.6%

Draw

3.32

Implied 28.5%

Away win

3.07

Implied 30.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.94

Implied 49.2%

Under 2.5

1.88

Implied 50.8%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHArouca vs Nacional
LEAGUEPortugal · Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 · unknown
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.94 (implied 0.491884)
Under 2.5: 1.88 (implied 0.508130)
Full-time result:
Arouca: 2.37 (implied 0.405515)
Draw: 3.32 (implied 0.285063)
Nacional: 3.07 (implied 0.309406)

TEAM STRENGTH

Arouca: league table unavailable
Nacional: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Arouca last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W L W W L (oldest → newest)
Nacional last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L W L D L (oldest → newest)
Arouca avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Nacional avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Arouca avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Nacional avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Arouca form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Nacional form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Arouca over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Nacional over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Arouca BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Nacional BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Arouca clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1
Nacional clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Arouca home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.4 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Nacional away form: 0W-1D-4L · 1.0 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Arouca home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Nacional away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Arouca home BTTS rate: 60%
Nacional away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.333
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 67%
Arouca W-D-L vs Nacional: 3-0-0

MOTIVATION

No standout situational motivation identified

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
League standings unavailable (no table context)
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: not available