SmartBettors

Ekstraklasa

Arka Gdynia

23

Full time

Nieciecza

Monday, May 18, 2026 -
Head to head
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 27 · Home -0.23 · Away +0.21

Arka Gdynia (-1)Nieciecza (+1)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.65

Implied 60.61%

Draw

4.25

Implied 23.53%

Away win

4.91

Implied 20.37%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.67

Implied 59.88%

Under 2.5

2.28

Implied 43.86%

Captured

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHArka Gdynia vs Nieciecza
LEAGUEPoland · Ekstraklasa · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 33/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.67 (implied 59.88%)
Under 2.5: 2.28 (implied 43.86%)
Full-time result:
Arka Gdynia: 1.61 (implied 62.11%)
Draw: 4.42 (implied 22.62%)
Nieciecza: 5.10 (implied 19.61%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Arka Gdynia: 17/18 · 36 pts · GD -24 · 23 pts off leader · zone: relegation
Nieciecza: 18/18 · 31 pts · GD -23 · 28 pts off leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Arka Gdynia last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend D L L D D (oldest → newest)
Nieciecza last 5: 1W-0D-4L · trend L L W L L (oldest → newest)
Arka Gdynia avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Nieciecza avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Arka Gdynia avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Nieciecza avg goals conceded last 10: 2.10
Arka Gdynia form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Nieciecza form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Arka Gdynia over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Nieciecza over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Arka Gdynia BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Nieciecza BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Arka Gdynia clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4
Nieciecza clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Arka Gdynia home form: 1W-3D-1L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Nieciecza away form: 1W-0D-4L · 0.8 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Arka Gdynia home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Nieciecza away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Arka Gdynia home BTTS rate: 40%
Nieciecza away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 0%
Arka Gdynia W-D-L vs Nieciecza: 0-0-1

MOTIVATION

Arka Gdynia: currently in the relegation zone
Nieciecza: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: relegation six-pointer between the sides

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -1 (Δ -0.25, toward Arka Gdynia)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_home — late sharp money toward Arka Gdynia
Line activity: 1 change · 27/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -1 (toward Arka Gdynia)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: yes
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.125)