SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Almería

42

Full time

Ceuta

Sunday, February 1, 2026 -
Head to head
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.80

Implied 54.3%

Draw

3.92

Implied 24.2%

Away win

4.39

Implied 21.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.87

Implied 52.1%

Under 2.5

2.02

Implied 48.0%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAlmería vs Ceuta
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 42/42
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.527426)
Under 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.473037)
Full-time result:
Almería: 1.79 (implied 0.545554)
Draw: 3.87 (implied 0.245640)
Ceuta: 4.53 (implied 0.208638)

TEAM STRENGTH

Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Ceuta: 11/22 · 61 pts · GD -13 · 21 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Almería last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L W D L L (oldest → newest)
Ceuta last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W W L L W (oldest → newest)
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Ceuta avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Ceuta avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ceuta form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ceuta over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Ceuta BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Almería clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
Ceuta clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Almería home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Ceuta away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Almería home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ceuta away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Almería home BTTS rate: 60%
Ceuta away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 100%
Almería W-D-L vs Ceuta: 0-1-0

MOTIVATION

Almería: defending playoff spot

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available