Almería
Almería
4–2
Full time
Ceuta
Ceuta
Sunday, February 1, 2026 - …Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Team form
Almería
LWDLL
L5 Goals (F/A)
7 / 9
League position
3 / 22
Season AVG Goals (F/A)
1.90 / 1.45
Form quality
28%
Leagues used: Spain | La Liga 2
Ceuta
WWLLW
L5 Goals (F/A)
9 / 8
League position
11 / 22
Season AVG Goals (F/A)
1.17 / 1.48
Form quality
46%
Leagues used: Spain | La Liga 2
Head to head
Last match
Almería0
Draws1
Ceuta0
Market movements
Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.
Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds
Full-time result
Home win
1.80
Implied 54.3%
Draw
3.92
Implied 24.2%
Away win
4.39
Implied 21.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.87
Implied 52.1%
Under 2.5
2.02
Implied 48.0%
Captured …
Match briefing
MATCHAlmería vs Ceuta
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 42/42
KICKOFF…
ODDS
Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.527426)
Under 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.473037)
Full-time result:
Almería: 1.79 (implied 0.545554)
Draw: 3.87 (implied 0.245640)
Ceuta: 4.53 (implied 0.208638)
TEAM STRENGTH
Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Ceuta: 11/22 · 61 pts · GD -13 · 21 pts off leader
RECENT FORM
Almería last 5: 1W-1D-3L · trend L W D L L (oldest → newest)
Ceuta last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend W W L L W (oldest → newest)
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Ceuta avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Ceuta avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Ceuta form quality: high (overall sample 10)
GOAL PROFILE
Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ceuta over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Ceuta BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Almería clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
Ceuta clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
VENUE PROFILE
Almería home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Ceuta away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Almería home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ceuta away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Almería home BTTS rate: 60%
Ceuta away BTTS rate: 80%
H2H
Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 100%
Almería W-D-L vs Ceuta: 0-1-0
MOTIVATION
Almería: defending playoff spot
MARKET CONTEXT
Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker
SIGNALS
Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no
RISK FLAGS
Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result
QUALITY
Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available