SmartBettors

La Liga 2

Almería

32

Full time

Castellón

Tuesday, June 9, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 5 matches

Almería1
Draws1
Castellón3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.39

Implied 41.84%

Draw

3.61

Implied 27.7%

Away win

2.95

Implied 33.9%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAlmería vs Castellón
LEAGUESpain · La Liga 2 · 2025/2026 · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Almería: 2.41 (implied 41.49%)
Draw: 3.52 (implied 28.41%)
Castellón: 2.99 (implied 33.44%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Almería: 3/22 · 74 pts · GD +19 · 8 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff
Castellón: 6/22 · 72 pts · GD +19 · 10 pts off leader · zone: promotion playoff

RECENT FORM

Almería last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L L W D (oldest → newest)
Castellón last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D D W W D (oldest → newest)
Almería avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Castellón avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Almería avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Castellón avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Almería form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Castellón form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Almería over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Castellón over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Almería BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Castellón BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Almería clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Castellón clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Almería home form: 4W-0D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Castellón away form: 2W-3D-0L · 1.6 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 80%
Almería home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Castellón away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Almería home BTTS rate: 80%
Castellón away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.400
Over 2.5 rate: 40%
BTTS rate: 60%
Almería W-D-L vs Castellón: 1-1-3

MOTIVATION

Stakes: promotion play-off knockout — Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals — both sides qualified from the regular-season bracket; winner advances in the promotion path
Almería: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 3/22)
Castellón: promotion play-off entrant (regular season 6/22)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available