SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

40

Full time

Sparta Rotterdam

Saturday, March 14, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.73

Implied 56.7%

Draw

4.18

Implied 22.7%

Away win

4.59

Implied 20.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs Sparta Rotterdam
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.76 (implied 0.557414)
Draw: 4.19 (implied 0.226193)
Sparta Rotterdam: 4.37 (implied 0.216544)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
Sparta Rotterdam: 10/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D W D D L (oldest → newest)
Sparta Rotterdam last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend D D L L D (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Sparta Rotterdam avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Sparta Rotterdam avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Sparta Rotterdam form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Sparta Rotterdam over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 80%
Sparta Rotterdam BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Sparta Rotterdam away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.8 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Sparta Rotterdam away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
Sparta Rotterdam away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.125
Over 2.5 rate: 63%
BTTS rate: 63%
Ajax W-D-L vs Sparta Rotterdam: 5-3-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Sparta Rotterdam: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available