SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

22

Full time

SC Heerenveen

Sunday, August 16, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Ajax3
Draws2
SC Heerenveen1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

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Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs SC Heerenveen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.43 (implied 69.93%)
Under 2.5: 2.94 (implied 34.01%)
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.49 (implied 67.11%)
Draw: 4.95 (implied 20.2%)
SC Heerenveen: 6.01 (implied 16.64%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 4 pts · GD +0 · 2 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual
SC Heerenveen: 8/18 · 4 pts · GD +0 · 2 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend L D W D W (oldest → newest)
SC Heerenveen last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W D L W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
SC Heerenveen avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.60
SC Heerenveen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
SC Heerenveen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
SC Heerenveen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 30%
SC Heerenveen BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 7 · failed to score: 2
SC Heerenveen clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
SC Heerenveen away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 60%
SC Heerenveen away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
SC Heerenveen away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.250
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Ajax W-D-L vs SC Heerenveen: 5-2-1

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: chasing the title (2 pts to top)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: chasing UCL qualification (2 pts to line)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
SC Heerenveen: relegation danger (close to drop)
SC Heerenveen: chasing UCL qualification (2 pts to line)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -1.25 → -1.25 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 37/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.542)