SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

22

Full time

PSV

Saturday, May 2, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.45

Implied 39.7%

Draw

4.08

Implied 23.4%

Away win

2.63

Implied 36.9%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs PSV
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Ajax: 2.33 (implied 0.417362)
Draw: 4.09 (implied 0.233427)
PSV: 2.77 (implied 0.349162)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
PSV: 8/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W W L W W (oldest → newest)
PSV last 5: 3W-0D-2L · trend L L W W W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
PSV avg goals scored last 10: 2.60
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
PSV avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
PSV form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
PSV over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 50%
PSV BTTS rate last 10: 90%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1
PSV clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
PSV away form: 3W-0D-2L · 1.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 60%
PSV away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
PSV away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.625
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 75%
Ajax W-D-L vs PSV: 3-2-3

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
PSV: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0 → 0 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)