SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

11

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Saturday, February 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Ajax3
Draws2
NEC Nijmegen1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.77

Implied 54.8%

Draw

4.20

Implied 22.0%

Away win

4.01

Implied 23.1%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.77 (implied 0.548246)
Draw: 4.20 (implied 0.220410)
NEC Nijmegen: 4.01 (implied 0.231428)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend D W D D W (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W W L D (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 2.30
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 2.50
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 1.10
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.70
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 70%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 100%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 0 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 100%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 40%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 40%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 100%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.625
Over 2.5 rate: 63%
BTTS rate: 63%
Ajax W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 4-3-1

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available