SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

03

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Sunday, May 11, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Ajax4
Draws2
NEC Nijmegen0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.22

Implied 80.6%

Draw

6.89

Implied 12.6%

Away win

12.44

Implied 6.7%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.43

Implied 68.0%

Under 2.5

2.88

Implied 32.0%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs NEC Nijmegen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.43 (implied 0.678887)
Under 2.5: 2.87 (implied 0.320924)
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.23 (implied 0.800641)
Draw: 6.77 (implied 0.129082)
NEC Nijmegen: 11.93 (implied 0.070388)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
NEC Nijmegen: 3/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uel qual

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend W W W L D (oldest → newest)
NEC Nijmegen last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L W L D (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
NEC Nijmegen avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
NEC Nijmegen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
NEC Nijmegen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
NEC Nijmegen over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 40%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 1
NEC Nijmegen clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.4 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
NEC Nijmegen away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 0% · BTTS 0%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 60%
NEC Nijmegen away over 2.5 rate: 0%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
NEC Nijmegen away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 7 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.714
Over 2.5 rate: 57%
BTTS rate: 57%
Ajax W-D-L vs NEC Nijmegen: 5-2-0

MOTIVATION

Ajax: defending UECL qualification (score 0.850)
Ajax: relegation danger (close to drop)
Ajax: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: relegation danger (close to drop)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
NEC Nijmegen: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available