SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

00

Full time

FC Utrecht

Sunday, May 24, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Ajax1
Draws1
FC Utrecht4
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.13

Implied 46.95%

Draw

3.74

Implied 26.74%

Away win

3.38

Implied 29.59%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.69

Implied 59.17%

Under 2.5

2.24

Implied 44.64%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs FC Utrecht
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · Conference League Play-offs - Final
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.69 (implied 59.17%)
Under 2.5: 2.24 (implied 44.64%)
Full-time result:
Ajax: 2.13 (implied 46.95%)
Draw: 3.74 (implied 26.74%)
FC Utrecht: 3.38 (implied 29.59%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: uecl qual
FC Utrecht: 9/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W D L D W (oldest → newest)
FC Utrecht last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend L W W W W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
FC Utrecht avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
FC Utrecht avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
FC Utrecht form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
FC Utrecht over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 40%
FC Utrecht BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 1
FC Utrecht clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 2W-1D-2L · 2.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
FC Utrecht away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.4 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
FC Utrecht away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 60%
FC Utrecht away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.625
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 63%
Ajax W-D-L vs FC Utrecht: 3-1-4

MOTIVATION

Stakes: continental qualification play-off — Conference League Play-offs - Final — knockout tie for European competition

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.75 → -0.25 (Δ 0.5, toward FC Utrecht)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_away — late sharp money toward FC Utrecht
Line activity: 2 changes · 27/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.75 → -0.5 (toward FC Utrecht)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.125)