SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

vs

Kickoff

…

FC Groningen

Thursday, May 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Ajax4
Draws1
FC Groningen1
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 7 · Home +0.03 · Away +0.00

Ajax (-0.5)FC Groningen (+0.5)
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Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs FC Groningen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2025/2026 · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.61 (implied 62.11%)
Under 2.5: 2.37 (implied 42.19%)
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.87 (implied 53.48%)
Draw: 3.94 (implied 25.38%)
FC Groningen: 3.95 (implied 25.32%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: 5/18 · 56 pts · GD +22 · 28 pts off leader · zone: uecl qual
FC Groningen: 9/18 · 48 pts · GD +4 · 36 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W W D L D (oldest → newest)
FC Groningen last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D L L W W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
FC Groningen avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
FC Groningen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Ajax form quality: high (overall sample 10)
FC Groningen form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
FC Groningen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 40%
FC Groningen BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 2
FC Groningen clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
FC Groningen away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
FC Groningen away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 80%
FC Groningen away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.125
Over 2.5 rate: 88%
BTTS rate: 75%
Ajax W-D-L vs FC Groningen: 6-1-1

MOTIVATION

Stakes: continental qualification play-off — Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals — knockout tie for European competition

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.5 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 7/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 0.292)