SmartBettors

Eredivisie

Ajax

20

Full time

FC Groningen

Thursday, May 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Ajax4
Draws1
FC Groningen1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.89

Implied 52.91%

Draw

3.90

Implied 25.64%

Away win

3.98

Implied 25.13%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.60

Implied 62.5%

Under 2.5

2.42

Implied 41.32%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAjax vs FC Groningen
LEAGUENetherlands · Eredivisie · 2026/2027 · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.61 (implied 62.11%)
Under 2.5: 2.41 (implied 41.49%)
Full-time result:
Ajax: 1.93 (implied 51.81%)
Draw: 3.83 (implied 26.11%)
FC Groningen: 3.88 (implied 25.77%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Ajax: league table unavailable
FC Groningen: league table unavailable

RECENT FORM

Ajax last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend W W D L D (oldest → newest)
FC Groningen last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend D L L W W (oldest → newest)
Ajax avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
FC Groningen avg goals scored last 10: 1.80
Ajax avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
FC Groningen avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Ajax form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
FC Groningen form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Ajax over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
FC Groningen over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Ajax BTTS rate last 10: 40%
FC Groningen BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Ajax clean sheets last 10: 6 · failed to score: 2
FC Groningen clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Ajax home form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.8 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
FC Groningen away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Ajax home over 2.5 rate: 80%
FC Groningen away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Ajax home BTTS rate: 80%
FC Groningen away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 4.125
Over 2.5 rate: 88%
BTTS rate: 75%
Ajax W-D-L vs FC Groningen: 6-1-1

MOTIVATION

Stakes: continental qualification play-off — Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals — knockout tie for European competition

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.5 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 27/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: yes
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

League standings unavailable (no table context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.75 (early season — moderate confidence)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: no
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.125)